As can be seen, the Brest, Grodno, and Minsk Region bar associations are “in decline”, even though the Brest and Grodno associations had previously been among the most stable. In Minsk, the situation remains unchanged (no growth). Positive dynamics are observed in Vitebsk, Gomel, and Mogilev.
Of the 81 attorneys we identified as newly admitted to the profession, 24 (30%) joined the bar directly from law school. It should be understood that this figure does not mean that only 30% of all new attorneys came straight from university — a much larger share of new attorneys leave no digital footprint accessible to our investigation, and among them there may be a majority of recent graduates (or not — we will continue to monitor how the profiles of new attorneys evolve).
At the same time, several well-known attorneys with many years of experience and a deep understanding of how the profession operates were removed from the rosters.Among the 81 new attorneys, 56 are women and 25 are men. There is a clear gender imbalance: women make up nearly 70% of all new attorneys.
Overall,
the trends we have noted in previous studies of the profession
are confirmed:
- The “rejuvenation” of the bar and the active involvement of new attorneys in propaganda work;
- A slowdown in the overall rate of decline in attorney numbers (for the first time since 2020, our project recorded growth in the number of attorneys — although it did not remain positive by the end of the year);
- The entry into the bar of several individuals who had previously participated in active repression against Belarusian citizens as judges, prosecutors, or law enforcement officers. The list of current attorneys now includes individuals who played a role in the imprisonment of the late Ales Pushkin, in the Brest “round dance case”, and in other politically motivated prosecutions between 2020 and 2024.
A new feature in the “movement” of attorneys into and out of the profession is
the transition of former court employees into the bar — and, conversely, the appointment of former attorneys as judges or judicial assistants. There have also been cases of “attorney–judge–attorney” exchanges: in 2024, one attorney became a judge, and one former judge became an attorney.
It should be kept in mind that 80 attorneys account for about 5% of the total number of attorneys at present.
Even if no one were to leave the profession, at the current pace it would take at least eight years to restore the 2020 numbers (2,200 attorneys).It is challenging to determine which groups of applicants accounted for the increase of 30 newly admitted attorneys compared to last year (81 versus 50). The significant share of attorneys without any digital footprint makes extrapolation and analysis extremely challenging. Nevertheless, it can be noted that, as before, the bar is by no means being filled wholesale with former police officers, judges, or prosecutors — though individual profiles can still be striking.
We would describe the current state as a kind of stagnation: it is evident that something unviable is being built, yet the accumulated traditions and expertise still sustain the sphere of legal assistance, albeit one encumbered by numerous restrictions. At the same time, some of the “newly admitted” attorneys are joining legal consultation offices with only one practicing attorney, where opportunities for continuity and preservation of traditions remain extremely limited. Overall, highly qualified specialists are being driven out and replaced, for the most part, by those who have yet to make their mark in the legal field.
As for our forecast for 2025 compared to 2024,
we do not anticipate any dramatic changes in the number of newly admitted attorneys. Regarding departures resulting from hostile procedures, we have already predicted a gradual decline in such cases — the “rules of the game” changed long ago, and nearly all those targeted for license revocation have already lost their licenses. Overall, our forecast for the end of 2025 is a total of 1,615 attorneys (starting point at the beginning of the year: 1,603).